Musk says Tesla is ready to release FSD 12.4 next week
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Less than two weeks since its last FSD update, Tesla is getting ready to release FSD v12.4, with CEO Elon Musk hinting at significant improvements. The current version, 12.3.6, introduced Autopark and High Fidelity Park Assist for vehicles equipped with ultrasonic sensors in the U.S. and Canada, along with minor fixes for FSD.
Just an hour ago, Musk shed some light on Tesla's next FSD update. Through his X account, Musk teased the imminent release of v12.4, stating, "Probably start rolling out 12.4 next week." Moreover, he provided insights into the development process and the features users can expect in the upcoming 12.4 version, as well as v12.5 and v12.6.
What to Expect in FSD v12.4
Musk says that FSD 12.4 has extensive retraining of AI models that particularly focuses on refining the comfort of passengers by addressing concerns around abrupt acceleration or braking. Musk previously commented on the next versions of FSD saying that FSD v12.4 and 12.5 would be major improvements, and while v12.4 may be a major step forward, it looks like its main focus will be on being more natural and smoother.
"Probably start rolling out 12.4 next week."
FSD v12.5 and v12.6 to Handle More Complex Scenarios
Looking ahead, Tesla is already laying the groundwork for future updates according to Musk. The CEO previously stated that Tesla is constantly working on FSD updates that are three to six months ahead of what’s in production, so they have a good idea of what the software will be able to handle in the future.
Today on X, Musk said that there's ongoing testing for FSD versions 12.5 and 12.6, which involves tackling complex scenarios. Musk says this includes navigating narrow, one-way roads and handling unexpected road closures, requiring the vehicle to reverse and find alternate routes.
Actually Smart Summon in v12.5?
Tesla’s Autopilot lead, Ashok Elluswamy, previously talked about how FSD would gain the ability to go in reverse when Tesla is ready to release Actually Smart Summon. If the ability to reverse is still tied to some of the abilities of Actually Smart Summon, then, it’s possible we may see Tesla’s better summon implementation in version 12.5 or 12.6.
Vehicles to be Able to Communicate with Fleet
Musk also gives us some insight into vehicle communication, saying vehicles will need to be able to communicate with the fleet so that you "don't get a whole bunch of Teslas stuck down a road."
Instead of vehicle-to-vehicle communication, Tesla will likely have vehicles report back to the "mothership," where Tesla can aggregate data and report it to nearby vehicles. This is similar to how vehicles report traffic today, instead of talking directly to each other.
Spending on AI
Tesla's commitment to advancing its AI capabilities is evident through its substantial investments. Musk recently emphasized the company's dedication to spending around $10 billion throughout 2024 on training and inference AI. Musk said that any company that isn’t spending billions on AI this year just won’t be able to compete.
Expansion of FSD
Tesla appears ready to start the expansion of FSD, and it looks like China may be up first. Musk's recent visit to Beijing to discuss a potential FSD rollout and data sharing shows that Tesla is ready and serious about FSD's expansion.
While FSD's rollout in China appears promising, Musk remains cautiously optimistic about expanding into other markets. He believes that FSD v12 is ready for supervised FSD in left-hand drive (LHD) countries, while right-hand drive (RHD) markets like the UK and Australia may require additional time.
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Tesla currently offers free music streaming with every Tesla, although you’ll need Tesla’s Premium Connectivity package to stream over the vehicle’s cellular data or be on WiFi. In North America, Tesla includes what they used to call “Streaming,” and have just recently renamed to call LiveOne. However, in Europe, where LiveOne isn’t available, Tesla provides a free license for Spotify, which allows owners to stream the service for free without having to subscribe.
However, it looks like this may be coming to an end. We recently received an anonymous tip that Tesla would be ending this free benefit for its European customers. While we haven’t been able to confirm this just yet, it does seem likely. Let’s take a look at why we think this could be happening.
European Spotify Premium
Tesla’s European customers receive a free license of Spotify Premium right now – whether they’re subscribed to Spotify Premium or not. This means customers can listen to ad-free music, have unlimited skips, play music in any order, and be able to sort and queue songs for listening. However, the account is limited to listening in your Tesla, much like LiveOne in North America.
You’re also not given the credentials to the Spotify account, preventing you from using the same account on other devices. If a customer decides to subscribe to Spotify Premium on their own, they can still log in to their account in their Tesla and share the same Spotify account and playlists with other devices, just like you can in other regions.
Removal of Free Premium Benefits
Given the tip we received and some other recent information, we expect this change to happen. This appears in line with other changes to Tesla’s streaming services, including the changes to Slacker/LiveOne Radio in North America.
As Tesla adds additional music services like YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Apple Music, and SiriusXM in the future, it becomes more likely that Tesla vehicles have a music service someone may already subscribe to. This is especially true with the addition of Amazon Music, which is included with an Amazon Prime subscription. According to Statista, there are now over 180 million Amazon Prime members.
Subscribing to a music service has also become much more popular in recent years. In the United States alone, there are now more than 90 million music streaming subscriptions (Forbes), and that trend continues to grow year over year.
While Tesla likely only pays a small fraction of what a customer would pay for a Spotify Premium subscription, even if it’s just 50 cents per month, that amount would definitely add up with the more than 6 million Teslas on the road today.
Tesla certainly has the data to understand how many customers use the service that’s included in the vehicle and will use this to make the transition at the right time. At some point, it just doesn’t make sense to continue to pay for a service most customers don’t use.
Timeline
We were told that this change would happen this year, so it may not be much longer before we hear about this change officially from Tesla. What’s not clear is whether this would impact all customers or potentially only new customers. A lot may depend on their deal with Spotify and LiveOne and whether it’s based on a flat fee per vehicle or a monthly/yearly fee.
Based on industry changes alone, we would expect this to impact all customers. However, we’ll have to wait for official confirmation from Tesla, as until then, this should be considered a rumor.
Tesla purchased SolarCity, a large solar and backup installer, back in 2016 and shortly thereafter began installing its unique Tesla Solar Roof, regular Tesla Solar panels, and Tesla Powerwalls for both commercial and residential customers.
However, as the years have passed, Tesla has lost its interest in the actual installation portion of the business. They’re more than happy to continue producing Solar Roofs and expanding Powerwall production, but for the most part, their in-house rate of installations has slowed drastically.
Since Q2 2020, Tesla has seen a 10% or greater drop per quarter in the number of in-house Solar Roof, Solar, and Powerwall installations every quarter.
Third-Party Certification
Tesla has instead begun to certify third-party installers throughout North America and Europe for Powerwall and solar panels and within the United States for Solar Roof.
Tesla launched the Certified Installer Program in 2020 and said it has approximately 2,000 certified installers in over 14 countries—and those certified installers have set up over 1 million installations. James Bickford, Tesla’s Director of Global Sales, Residential Energy Products, announced the expansion of the Certified Installer Program and its new push on LinkedIn.
The Certified Installer Program provides several things to get third parties ready to install and commission Tesla’s home energy ecosystem, including virtual and in-person training, on-site training, custom installation tools, and the Tesla One Software Platform.
In addition to those supports, Tesla’s Partner Platform offers marketing support resources and a dedicated access system for a personal Account Manager from Tesla.
Tesla One Dashboard
The Tesla One dashboard offers third-party installers a one-stop-shop platform for managing quotes, installations, and repairs in one mobile app.
It is a convenient-looking application that lets third-party installers see what tasks they need to perform for specific installations and also helps them scale particular installations to customer requirements.
While this isn’t a new direction for Tesla overall, we’re seeing a distinct move in the energy business from Tesla as a first-party installer of its products to a more hands-off approach where local electricians and contractors will install Tesla products under its auspices.
We’re interested to see where Tesla continues to go with this, as they’ve seen their Powerwall business expanding in the last few years, while Tesla Solar and Solar Roof have dropped off many people’s radars lately.
